Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x83df…f1b0
crypto · 213 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$379 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$344 · open −$66
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$336
Realized+$344
Unrealized−$66
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses191 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions15
Markets (closed)198 / 213
History coverage23d
Avg bet$169
Trades / day23.1
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 15 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$155
7 days+$450
14 days+$224
30 days+$344
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 14? No 99¢ 97¢ $109 $107 −$2 (-2%)
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? No 99¢ 50¢ $129 $65 −$64 (-49%)
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $30 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $30 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 14? No 99¢ 97¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana reach $85 on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Solana reach $80 on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Solana reach $70 on June 14? No 57¢ 61¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? No 50¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? Jun 14 $1,591 +$67 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,499 +$3 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 13? Jun 13 $28 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 13? Jun 13 $21 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,502 +$5 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 13? Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1,353 +$5 +0%
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? Jun 13 $217 +$4 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? Jun 13 $1,475 +$25 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,335 +$15 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,434 +$26 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $157 +$3 +2%
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,343 +$2 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? Jun 12 $27 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $128 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,400 +$73 +5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $178 +$1 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 10? Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,197 +$24 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,363 +$10 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$274
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 2m
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 2m
Will Solana reach $80 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 2m
Will Solana reach $85 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 2m
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $99 4m
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 4m
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $99 4m
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 4m
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 4m
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $20 1h
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Solana reach $80 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Solana reach $85 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 14? BUY No 57¢ $6 1h
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY No 50¢ $5 1h
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -8.2%
≤30d 198 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 2% -8.7%
≤90d 198 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 2% -8.7%
all 198 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 2% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 2% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 2% -17.4%
15% -26.5% 2% -25.4%
20% -33.7% 1% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $335.53 · official $335.53 (match) · 595 history records