Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:27:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x83ef…bc1e
other · 46 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses9 / 37
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage616d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $12 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May? Jun 14 $13 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? Jun 14 $15 $0 +0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 29 $10 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 27 $12 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 25 $58 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 21 $10 $0 -0%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche May 21 $6 +$11 +165%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 18 $45 $0 -0%
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox May 18 $6 +$5 +97%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 13 $92 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 12 $41 $0 -0%
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 11 $42 $0 -0%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $49 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 02 $48 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 02 $47 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $46 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? May 01 $50 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 01 $50 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $52 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 27 $47 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $47 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 21 $49 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $51 $0 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $47 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $50 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? Apr 06 $3 $0 +0%
Trump out as President by March 31? Apr 06 $6 $0 +2%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 05 $11 $0 +0%
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? Feb 27 $11 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? Feb 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 08 $1 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $35 −$1 -3%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Aug 02 $11 $0 +3%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 14 $31 −$1 -3%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 01 $10 $0 -2%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $293 −$1 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 31 $402 −$2 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 28 $1,429 −$3 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 25 $1,005 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 77% −$9
other 16% −$10
economics 3% $0
world 2% $0
sports 1% +$15
crypto 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $12 1h
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $12 3h
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $15 17d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 18d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 18d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $10 22d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 22d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 25d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 25d
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche BUY Golden Knights 37¢ $6 25d
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 25d
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May? BUY No 100¢ $13 26d
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 26d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $45 27d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $45 27d
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 50¢ $6 29d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $42 31d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $42 31d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $41 33d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $41 33d
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $42 34d
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $42 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.0% -9.5% 67% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 14 +18.7% +7.4% 29% 14% -3.2%
≤90d 34 +4.7% -5.2% 18% 6% -9.1%
all 46 +3.4% -6.4% 20% 4% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.4% 4% -9.6%
10% -15.4% 4% -18.3%
15% -23.6% 4% -26.2%
20% -31.1% 4% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 313 history records