trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +95.2% | +76.6% | 40% | 40% | +113.6% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +95.2% | +76.6% | 40% | 40% | +113.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +95.2% | +76.6% | 40% | 40% | +113.6% |
| all | 5 | +95.2% | +76.6% | 40% | 40% | +113.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +76.6% | 40% | +113.6% |
| 10% | +59.7% | 40% | +93.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +44.3% | 40% | +74.5% |
| 20% | +30.1% | 40% | +57.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 21¢ | 13¢ | $1,918 | $1,178 | −$740 (-39%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 58¢ | 58¢ | $500 | $504 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $300 | $308 | +$8 (+3%) |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 20¢ | 16¢ | $300 | $244 | −$56 (-19%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $200 | $199 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $200 | $193 | −$7 (-4%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $92 | $92 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $100 | $41 | −$59 (-59%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $1,385 | +$3,854 | +278% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $403 | −$400 | -99% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | Jun 18 | $883 | −$88 | -10% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | Jun 18 | $119 | −$23 | -19% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 17 | $235 | +$768 | +327% |