Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:59:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
83 0x83f4…2b42 crypto 1739 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d only
✗ bot/MM pace (196 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$931 (-7%) realized −$931 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate95%1654W / 85L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day195.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days−$104
14 days−$76
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (196 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1228 -0.7% -10.1% 95% 2% -10.5%
≤30d 1739 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 3% -10.0%
≤90d 1739 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 3% -10.0%
all 1739 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 3% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover195.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 3% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$931
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1654 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1739 / 1739
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day195.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1739 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$7 -50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records