Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:07:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x843a…d590
crypto · 319 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$514 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,388 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$203
Realized−$5,388
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses46 / 272
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$322
Open positions1
Markets (closed)318 / 319
History coverage48d
Avg bet$256
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 1 History 318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$140
7 days−$166
14 days−$2,800
30 days−$4,704
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 50¢ 78¢ $116 $180 +$64 (+55%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 22¢ $46 $20 −$25 (-55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FUT Esports 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Yes 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? No 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Liquid 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-24? No 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 50¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $180 −$18 -10%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $927 +$317 +34%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,394 −$454 -32%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,080 −$194 -18%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,065 +$228 +21%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,492 +$260 +17%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,379 −$206 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $191 −$10 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $200 +$36 +18%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,603 +$378 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $128 −$14 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $281 +$113 +40%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $1,779 −$213 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $200 −$50 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,012 +$37 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $133 −$17 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET Jun 08 $134 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $153 −$27 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $453 −$184 -41%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $333 −$63 -19%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $172 −$35 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $221 −$60 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10PM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8PM ET Jun 07 $113 −$6 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7PM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6PM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5PM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Jun 06 $230 −$65 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $134 −$5 -4%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $433 −$111 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $2,554 −$290 -11%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $452 −$132 -29%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $531 −$32 -6%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 05 $240 −$63 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET Jun 05 $200 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET Jun 05 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET Jun 05 $214 −$25 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% −$2,697
crypto 37% −$2,454
other 13% −$262
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 21¢ $19 0m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 22¢ $43 0m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 78¢ $4 1m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 79¢ $157 17m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 21¢ $41 18m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 22¢ $13 18m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 21¢ $21 19m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 75¢ $13 25m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 75¢ $149 25m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 24¢ $43 25m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 24¢ $47 28m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 28¢ $1 33m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 28¢ $55 38m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $70 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $14 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $25 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $85 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $36 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 24¢ $27 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 29¢ $18 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 68¢ $26 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 65¢ $91 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 93¢ $99 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 93¢ $10 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 90¢ $44 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 90¢ $67 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 93¢ $56 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +97.0% +78.3% 28% 21% -7.8%
≤30d 232 +0.8% -8.8% 15% 10% -19.7%
≤90d 318 -2.9% -12.1% 14% 9% -17.7%
all 318 -2.9% -12.1% 14% 9% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 9% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 6% -25.6%
15% -28.2% 5% -32.7%
20% -35.2% 3% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $202.79 · official $200.33 · 3318 history records