trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $20 | $24 | +$4 (+18%) |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners | Over | 52¢ | 51¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $6 | −$4 (-40%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-96%) |
| Stars vs. Ducks | Stars | 54¢ | 0¢ | $60 | $0 | −$60 (-100%) |
| Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Spread: Raptors (-12.5) | Jazz | 55¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Raptors | 46¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Hawks | Timberwolves | 67¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5 | Over | 53¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Lakers | 16¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| USC vs. TCU | USC | 69¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Spread: Vikings (-10.5) | Packers | 46¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 58¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Panthers vs. Buccaneers | Panthers | 42¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 51¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Magic vs. Pacers | Pacers | 39¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscow | HC Dynamo Moscow | 26¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Spread: Celtics (-17.5) | Bucks | 50¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Spread: Indiana (-3.5) | Oregon | 55¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Men's Group A - Canada vs. France | France | 1¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | Aurora | 50¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State | Mississippi State | 42¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 10 | $10 | +$10 | +101% |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies | Jun 08 | $6 | +$4 | +73% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | Mar 28 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | Mar 28 | $10 | +$14 | +144% |
| KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscow | Mar 28 | $10 | +$17 | +166% |
| Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | Mar 26 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | Mar 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscow | Mar 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. 76ers | Mar 26 | $50 | +$21 | +43% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Mar 25 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5 | Mar 25 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Jazz (-5.5) | Mar 25 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Mar 25 | $10 | +$10 | +104% |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) | Mar 25 | $30 | +$42 | +138% |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | Mar 25 | $30 | +$47 | +156% |
| Spread: Stars (-1.5) | Mar 24 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Bruins (-1.5) | Mar 24 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-12.5) | Mar 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Mar 23 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Mar 23 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| Men's Group A - Canada vs. France | Feb 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Feb 11 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $100 | +$45 | +45% |
| Spread: Celtics (-17.5) | Feb 01 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdown | Feb 01 | $60 | +$37 | +61% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneyline | Feb 01 | $100 | +$92 | +92% |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Jan 26 | $100 | +$100 | +100% |
| Blues vs. Stars | Jan 25 | $40 | +$27 | +67% |
| Devils vs. Canucks | Jan 25 | $40 | +$28 | +70% |
| Red Wings vs. Wild | Jan 23 | $40 | +$27 | +67% |
| Lakers vs. Clippers | Jan 23 | $40 | +$38 | +96% |
| Suns vs. Hawks | Jan 23 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves | Jan 23 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Oilers | Jan 23 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Suns vs. 76ers | Jan 21 | $40 | +$30 | +75% |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruins | Jan 21 | $40 | +$89 | +223% |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | Jan 21 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Pacers | Jan 19 | $40 | +$23 | +59% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5 | Jan 18 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Senators | Jan 17 | $67 | +$33 | +49% |
| Clippers vs. Raptors | Jan 16 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Ducks | Jan 14 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 | Jan 13 | $40 | +$37 | +92% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 13 | $100 | +$69 | +70% |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | Jan 12 | $40 | +$26 | +64% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 12 | $80 | +$43 | +54% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +32.3% | +19.7% | 83% | 67% | +20.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +32.3% | +19.7% | 83% | 67% | +20.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 54% | 50% | -42.8% |
| all | 122 | -7.2% | -16.1% | 49% | 48% | -19.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 48% | -19.5% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 48% | -27.2% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 47% | -34.3% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 41% | -40.7% |