Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T10:39:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
84 0x84a7…4069 crypto 699 markets active 0h ago coverage 20d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (74 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$280 (+1%) realized +$280 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate91%636W / 63L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day73.5pace
Fees−$97est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$73
14 days+$194
30 days+$271
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 54% +$191
crypto 46% +$75
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (74 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 494 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 4% -8.5%
≤30d 699 -1.1% -10.6% 91% 8% -8.4%
≤90d 699 -1.1% -10.6% 91% 8% -8.4%
all 699 -1.1% -10.6% 91% 8% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 8% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 4% -17.2%
15% -26.9% 3% -25.2%
20% -34.1% 2% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$18 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$280
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses636 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$97
Open positions0
Markets (closed)699 / 699
History coverage20d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day73.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 699 Trades
no open positions (36 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2119 history records