Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:55:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84ad…bfb7
sports · 46 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$134,111 -224%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130,917 · open −$3,195
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63,497
Realized−$130,917
Unrealized−$3,195
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses71 / 416
Whale WR (big bets)13%
Est. fees paid−$588
Open positions31
Markets (closed)487 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,304
Trades / day3455.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 31 History 487 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130,917
7 days−$130,917
14 days−$130,917
30 days−$130,917
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 41¢ 100¢ $2,501 $6,108 +$3,607 (+144%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Lloyd Harris Lloyd Harris 51¢ 50¢ $5,363 $5,258 −$105 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 53¢ 42¢ $4,953 $3,846 −$1,107 (-22%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 73¢ 64¢ $3,191 $2,823 −$368 (-12%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 34¢ 57¢ $1,427 $2,436 +$1,008 (+71%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 47¢ 70¢ $1,600 $2,383 +$783 (+49%)
Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Reilly Opelka Reilly Opelka 52¢ 50¢ $2,399 $2,308 −$92 (-4%)
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? No 57¢ 100¢ $1,242 $2,186 +$944 (+76%)
Little Rock: Philip Sekulic vs Mitchell Krueger Mitchell Krueger 51¢ 50¢ $1,889 $1,852 −$37 (-2%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 70¢ 66¢ $1,897 $1,811 −$86 (-5%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $1,600 $1,610 +$10 (+1%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 48¢ 48¢ $1,600 $1,583 −$17 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $1,600 $1,583 −$17 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ 38¢ $1,600 $1,579 −$21 (-1%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 60¢ 59¢ $1,600 $1,573 −$27 (-2%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 52¢ 50¢ $1,605 $1,571 −$34 (-2%)
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Leandro Riedi 51¢ 50¢ $1,600 $1,568 −$31 (-2%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 65¢ 81¢ $1,192 $1,489 +$297 (+25%)
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 35¢ 100¢ $492 $1,406 +$914 (+186%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage Bebop 62¢ 50¢ $1,682 $1,356 −$326 (-19%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 56¢ 50¢ $1,399 $1,250 −$150 (-11%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 53¢ 58¢ $978 $1,073 +$95 (+10%)
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Valerio Aboian Valerio Aboian 79¢ 50¢ $1,548 $980 −$568 (-37%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Guido Justo 86¢ 86¢ $887 $889 +$2 (+0%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Arthur Gea 36¢ 19¢ $1,595 $844 −$751 (-47%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Lloyd Harris Jun 12 $5,363 −$105 -2%
Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Reilly Opelka Jun 12 $2,399 −$92 -4%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $1,242 +$944 +76%
Little Rock: Philip Sekulic vs Mitchell Krueger Jun 12 $1,889 −$37 -2%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 12 $1,600 −$31 -2%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $492 +$914 +186%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group St Jun 12 $1,682 −$326 -19%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 12 $1,399 −$150 -11%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Valerio Aboian Jun 12 $1,548 −$568 -37%
Bratislava: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 12 $808 −$220 -27%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Victoria Mboko Jun 12 $544 −$11 -2%
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova Jun 12 $211 +$187 +88%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $390 −$71 -18%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $461 −$168 -36%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $342 −$62 -18%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $346 −$67 -19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $261 −$26 -10%
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics Jun 12 $118 +$113 +96%
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$27 +14%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-01? Jun 12 $100 +$127 +127%
Cervia: Ivan Ivanov vs Franco Roncadelli Jun 12 $288 −$67 -23%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $151 +$51 +34%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01? Jun 12 $100 +$96 +96%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $138 +$57 +41%
Will Kagoshima United FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $110 +$84 +76%
Will AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Fukushima United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $171 +$16 +9%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League E Jun 12 $155 +$27 +18%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $103 +$46 +45%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $99 +$43 +43%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $142 −$3 -2%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $142 −$3 -2%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champion Jun 12 $131 −$3 -2%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$46 +117%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $84 −$5 -6%
Will Kataller Toyama vs. Albirex Niigata end in a draw? Jun 12 $47 +$10 +20%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $58 −$2 -3%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $51 +$4 +9%
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand Jun 12 $58 −$5 -9%
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$33 +173%
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $29 +$21 +70%
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $44 +$1 +3%
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $30 +$15 +50%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $22 +$18 +82%
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $31 +$9 +29%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$11 -23%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$20 +138%
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $26 +$9 +34%
Iwaki FC vs. FC Gifu: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $17 +$13 +79%
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $14 +$16 +107%
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$2 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% +$18,220
other 23% −$3,725
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 76¢ $5 0m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 57¢ $5 0m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 66¢ $5 0m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 86¢ $68 1m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 63¢ $3 1m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 64¢ $4 1m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 38¢ $2 1m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 73¢ $4 2m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 66¢ $5 3m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $5 3m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $159 3m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $5 3m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 53¢ $3 4m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 23¢ $1 4m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $5 4m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 26¢ $1 4m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 41¢ $2 5m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 47¢ $2 5m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 74¢ $4 5m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 48¢ $2 5m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 36¢ $2 5m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 50¢ $5 6m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 49¢ $2 6m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 66¢ $5 6m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 64¢ $4 7m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 25¢ $1 7m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 47¢ $2 7m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 47¢ $2 7m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 67¢ $5 7m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 54¢ $5 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-67.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 487 -64.4% -67.8% 15% 13% -62.8%
≤30d 487 -64.4% -67.8% 15% 13% -62.8%
≤90d 487 -64.4% -67.8% 15% 13% -62.8%
all 487 -64.4% -67.8% 15% 13% -62.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3455.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -67.8% 13% -62.8%
10% ← realistic here -70.9% 12% -66.3%
15% -73.7% 10% -69.6%
20% -76.3% 7% -72.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63,497.46 · official $63,890.21 (match) · 3500 history records