Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84cd…2eed
crypto · 1450 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$908 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$908 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$163
Realized−$908
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1168 / 280
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1448 / 1450
History coverage111d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 1448 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$217
7 days−$432
14 days−$447
30 days−$859
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $113 $112 −$1 (-1%)
United States leading at halftime? Yes 33¢ 34¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 25¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $85 −$83 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $75 −$73 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $52 +$422 +804%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 09 $49 −$48 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $21 −$21 -98%
Colombia leading at halftime? Jun 08 $48 +$74 +153%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $200 −$196 -98%
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial To Jun 07 $106 −$104 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $99 −$97 -98%
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by W Jun 07 $25 −$24 -97%
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Jun 07 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 07 $53 −$52 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $102 −$100 -98%
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 06 $50 −$49 -99%
Portugal leading at halftime? Jun 06 $77 −$76 -99%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 06 $60 +$114 +188%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $144 +$140 +97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $158 −$155 -98%
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $29 −$28 -98%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? May 22 $59 −$58 -98%
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? May 22 $56 −$55 -97%
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $57 −$56 -97%
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $48 −$47 -98%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $121 −$118 -98%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? May 03 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Mar 17 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Mar 16 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Mar 16 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 16 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Mar 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Mar 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Mar 16 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Mar 16 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Mar 16 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Mar 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Mar 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Mar 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Mar 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Mar 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Mar 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Mar 16 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Mar 16 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$22
other 23% −$825
sports 7% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 33¢ $51 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $8 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $107 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 14¢ $34 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $51 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 41¢ $50 4h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 6¢ $30 4h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 32¢ $45 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 84¢ $474 20h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 9¢ $52 21h
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $33 3d
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $16 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 16¢ $51 3d
Spread: France (-2.5) BUY France 45¢ $21 4d
Colombia leading at halftime? BUY Yes 39¢ $48 5d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 21¢ $51 5d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 37¢ $148 5d
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial To BUY Yes 47¢ $106 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 25¢ $99 5d
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by W BUY Yes 4¢ $25 5d
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by BUY Yes 5¢ $21 5d
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 30¢ $53 5d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 45¢ $102 6d
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 53¢ $50 6d
Portugal leading at halftime? BUY Yes 62¢ $77 6d
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 34¢ $60 12d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 50¢ $144 13d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 24¢ $53 13d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 38¢ $105 13d
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 27¢ $29 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -19.7% -27.3% 17% 17% -42.0%
≤30d 27 -39.1% -44.9% 15% 15% -50.1%
≤90d 66 -29.4% -36.1% 48% 21% -48.9%
all 1448 -1.2% -10.6% 81% 53% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 53% -21.6%
10% -19.2% 36% -29.1%
15% -27.0% 19% -35.9%
20% -34.1% 5% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $162.56 · official $162.56 (match) · 3017 history records