Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84cf…5e80
other · 13 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$34 -54%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$7
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses1 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)6 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit23%
Chart Positions 7 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-96%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-97%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 13 $6 +$11 +181%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -19%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$28
sports 37% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-30.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -23.1% -30.4% 17% 17% -30.4%
≤30d 6 -23.1% -30.4% 17% 17% -30.4%
≤90d 6 -23.1% -30.4% 17% 17% -30.4%
all 6 -23.1% -30.4% 17% 17% -30.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.4% 17% -30.4%
10% -37.1% 17% -37.1%
15% -43.2% 17% -43.2%
20% -48.7% 17% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.23 · official $5.23 (match) · 21 history records