trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | $11,918 | $66,153 | +$54,235 (+455%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $60,947 | $63,022 | +$2,076 (+3%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $48,410 | $53,554 | +$5,144 (+11%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $44,297 | $43,798 | −$500 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $34,415 | $34,931 | +$517 (+2%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $17,745 | $28,600 | +$10,856 (+61%) |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $27,137 | $27,195 | +$58 (+0%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $25,362 | $25,170 | −$192 (-1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | No | 66¢ | 64¢ | $21,379 | $20,603 | −$775 (-4%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 54¢ | 56¢ | $19,512 | $20,092 | +$580 (+3%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $14,651 | $14,691 | +$40 (+0%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $15,655 | $14,335 | −$1,320 (-8%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $12,619 | $13,911 | +$1,292 (+10%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 70¢ | 70¢ | $12,629 | $12,688 | +$60 (+0%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | Over | 56¢ | 56¢ | $12,516 | $12,388 | −$129 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $11,728 | $11,390 | −$338 (-3%) |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $11,484 | $10,125 | −$1,359 (-12%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $9,919 | $9,863 | −$56 (-1%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 53¢ | 60¢ | $8,331 | $9,510 | +$1,179 (+14%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $9,467 | $9,490 | +$22 (+0%) |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50¢ | 56¢ | $8,354 | $9,317 | +$962 (+12%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 40¢ | 38¢ | $9,580 | $8,993 | −$587 (-6%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | No | 74¢ | 74¢ | $8,785 | $8,726 | −$59 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $9,583 | $8,430 | −$1,153 (-12%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 20¢ | 18¢ | $8,952 | $7,711 | −$1,241 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye leading at halftime? | Jun 14 | $1,126 | −$1,117 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$65 | +1907% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $811 | −$806 | -99% |
| Australia to score first vs. Türkiye? | Jun 14 | $9 | +$215 | +2330% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $381 | −$375 | -98% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $15 | −$9 | -59% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $94 | −$25 | -26% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $314 | +$4,158 | +1323% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants | Jun 14 | $65 | +$10,442 | +16073% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 14 | $33,088 | +$7,783 | +24% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 14 | $2,238 | +$17,245 | +770% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +694.7% | +619.0% | 55% | 55% | +57.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +694.7% | +619.0% | 55% | 55% | +57.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +694.7% | +619.0% | 55% | 55% | +57.8% |
| all | 11 | +694.7% | +619.0% | 55% | 55% | +57.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +619.0% | 55% | +57.8% |
| 10% | +550.2% | 55% | +42.7% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +487.4% | 45% | +28.9% |
| 20% | +429.8% | 45% | +16.3% |