Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:28:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84e5…2303
other · 851 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,037 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,031 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$110
Realized−$1,031
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses306 / 521
Est. fees paid−$83
Open positions22
Markets (closed)827 / 851
History coverage599d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 22 History 827 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$9
14 days−$171
30 days−$272
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 4¢ 5¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+32%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+23%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $7 +$3 (+50%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+31%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 5¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 36¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $30 +$50 +165%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $26 −$26 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 10? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 10? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$11 +105%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 8? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 9? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$17 +329%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 11? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8? Jun 09 $5 +$16 +301%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 08 $5 +$4 +69%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 8? Jun 08 $5 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 7? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 7? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 5? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 7? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 −$1 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 +$21 +408%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 7? Jun 08 $5 +$15 +285%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 07 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7? Jun 07 $5 +$13 +245%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $10 −$6 -54%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7? Jun 06 $5 +$5 +93%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 6? Jun 06 $5 +$7 +132%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +91%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 6? Jun 06 $5 +$3 +66%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $7 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 4? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27? Jun 05 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 05 $71 −$71 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 4? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Jun 05 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27? Jun 05 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4? Jun 04 $5 +$3 +59%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4? Jun 04 $5 +$2 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4? Jun 03 $5 +$2 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 44% −$925
other 38% +$358
crypto 14% −$302
weather 2% −$55
world 1% −$17
politics 1% −$113
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $15 20m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 26¢ $20 48m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND W BUY 3¢ $35 55m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Legacy 12¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Legacy 12¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 5¢ $26 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $30 24h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 36¢ $26 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 44¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 51¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 10? SELL Yes 100¢ $22 2d
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 11? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 10? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 10? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $5 3d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 10? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 3d
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 10? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 3d
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June BUY Yes 9¢ $5 3d
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June SELL Yes 31¢ $9 3d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 8? SELL Yes 15¢ $6 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 12¢ $21 3d
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 9? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 4d
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 8? SELL Yes 12¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8? SELL Yes 95¢ $26 4d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 7? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 4d
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 7? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June SELL Yes 26¢ $6 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +6.9% -3.3% 41% 38% -6.5%
≤30d 107 +0.8% -8.8% 39% 38% -27.8%
≤90d 340 -0.9% -10.3% 39% 39% -18.6%
all 827 -4.2% -13.4% 37% 36% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 36% -14.7%
10% -21.7% 35% -22.9%
15% -29.2% 33% -30.3%
20% -36.2% 31% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $109.78 · official $163.75 · 2069 history records