Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:53:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84e6…6b57
crypto · 790 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,947 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,947 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,947
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses397 / 464
Open positions0
Markets (closed)861 / 790
History coverage22d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day131.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 861 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,741
7 days−$1,888
14 days−$1,804
30 days−$3,947
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3,206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 283 -29.8% -36.5% 36% 35% -23.6%
≤30d 861 -12.4% -20.7% 46% 44% -23.2%
≤90d 861 -12.4% -20.7% 46% 44% -23.2%
all 861 -12.4% -20.7% 46% 44% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 44% -23.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 40% -30.5%
15% -35.3% 33% -37.2%
20% -41.6% 28% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records