Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84fb…4ec8
crypto · 566 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$141 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$141 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$141
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses277 / 289
Open positions0
Markets (closed)566 / 566
History coverage55d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day32.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 566 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 05 $9 −$8 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 05 $9 −$3 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 05 $19 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 05 $9 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 05 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 05 $9 −$1 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 05 $9 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 05 $9 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 04 $19 −$15 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 04 $9 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 04 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 04 $19 −$5 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 04 $19 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 04 $9 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 04 $9 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 04 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 04 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 04 $28 −$8 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 04 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 04 $9 −$2 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 04 $7 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 04 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 04 $19 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 04 $9 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 04 $28 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 04 $9 −$5 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 04 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 04 $9 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 04 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 04 $9 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 04 $9 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 04 $12 −$6 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 04 $28 −$4 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 04 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 04 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 04 $47 −$13 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 04 $28 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 04 $19 −$2 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 04 $26 −$6 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 04 $9 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 04 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 04 $19 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 04 $13 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 04 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 04 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 04 $9 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $6 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $7 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $5 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $9 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $3 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $7 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $9 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $3 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $15 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $7 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $0 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 38d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +38.4% +25.2% 75% 75% +20.6%
≤30d 4 +38.4% +25.2% 75% 75% +20.6%
≤90d 566 -0.2% -9.7% 49% 33% -11.5%
all 566 -0.2% -9.7% 49% 33% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 33% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 22% -20.0%
15% -26.2% 10% -27.7%
20% -33.5% 4% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1794 history records