trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 78% | 67% | +21.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +12.4% | +1.7% | 74% | 65% | +10.5% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +11.9% | +1.3% | 75% | 62% | +10.0% |
| all | 29 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 66% | 55% | -2.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 55% | -2.9% |
| 10% | -19.1% | 41% | -12.2% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 41% | -20.7% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 21% | -28.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-19%) |
| World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane | Mbappe | 66¢ | 78¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+17%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 23¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 74¢ | 74¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | Yes | 45¢ | 44¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $21 | +$10 | +50% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $10 | +$9 | +90% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World | Jun 27 | $15 | +$7 | +44% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $15 | +$8 | +50% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $15 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$6 | +55% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $3 | +$2 | +60% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +66% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $9 | +$4 | +48% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$8 | -76% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$5 | +45% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 12 | $23 | −$19 | -82% |
| Will Frank Lampard be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? | Jun 12 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 09 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Mar 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 14 | $8 | −$5 | -62% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 14 | $20 | −$15 | -73% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 03 | $20 | +$3 | +15% |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | Dec 24 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |