Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x8512…cb45
crypto · 1193 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$15 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses331 / 862
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1193 / 1193
History coverage5d
Avg bet$142
Trades / day264.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$276
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $204 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$9 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $204 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $212 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $204 −$10 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $204 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$15 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$15 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $212 −$12 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $205 −$10 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$14 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $206 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$15 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $214 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$10 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$14 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $24 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $76 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1193 +1.0% -8.6% 28% 12% -9.5%
≤30d 1193 +1.0% -8.6% 28% 12% -9.5%
≤90d 1193 +1.0% -8.6% 28% 12% -9.5%
all 1193 +1.0% -8.6% 28% 12% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover264.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 12% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 7% -18.2%
15% -25.3% 5% -26.1%
20% -32.7% 4% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records