Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:57:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x852e…ca77
crypto · 217 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,216 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,234 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$5,234
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses144 / 539
Open positions1
Markets (closed)683 / 217
History coverage4d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day826.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,322
7 days−$5,234
14 days−$5,234
30 days−$5,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 68¢ 90¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+177%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 29¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$33 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$35 -421%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1051%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$24 -171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$20 -244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$25 -451%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +8708%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$51 -129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +725%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$145
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $13 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 683 -28.4% -35.2% 21% 18% -23.8%
≤30d 683 -28.4% -35.2% 21% 18% -23.8%
≤90d 683 -28.4% -35.2% 21% 18% -23.8%
all 683 -28.4% -35.2% 21% 18% -23.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover826.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.2% 18% -23.8%
10% ← realistic here -41.4% 14% -31.1%
15% -47.1% 11% -37.8%
20% -52.3% 9% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.07 · official $7.45 · 3500 history records