Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x8532…5faf
sports · 432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,869 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,693 · open −$178
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$113
Realized−$2,693
Unrealized−$178
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses192 / 236
Est. fees paid−$602
Open positions4
Markets (closed)428 / 432
Avg bet$123
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 428 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$70
7 days+$70
14 days+$70
30 days+$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 50¢ 48¢ $97 $92 −$5 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 54¢ 22¢ $50 $21 −$29 (-58%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 51¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 29¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 53¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season DetonatioN FocusMe 30¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 70¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner GAM Esports 84¢ 0¢ $169 $0 −$169 (-100%)
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) JD Gaming 67¢ 0¢ $294 $0 −$294 (-100%)
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster 35¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega FURIA Esports 67¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs MVK Esports 56¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 16¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Shifters 40¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 26¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Invictus Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Natus Vincere 28¢ 0¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Team WE 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 48¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Ultra Prime 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner Gentle Mates 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Invictus Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Astralis 18¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 +$70 +88%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 09 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner May 09 $75 −$71 -94%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 09 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner May 09 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 09 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 09 $176 −$175 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner May 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner May 09 $102 −$95 -93%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner May 09 $71 +$127 +178%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 2 Winner May 09 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner May 09 $51 +$121 +237%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner May 09 $31 −$30 -98%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Gr May 09 $97 −$96 -99%
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 08 $148 −$145 -98%
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 08 $118 −$116 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 08 $203 −$200 -98%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 08 $167 +$99 +59%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner May 08 $102 +$98 +97%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner May 08 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 07 $220 +$250 +114%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 07 $202 −$200 -99%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 07 $185 +$237 +128%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 07 $51 +$134 +262%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 07 $147 −$145 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 07 $100 +$97 +97%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 07 $57 −$56 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner May 07 $170 −$167 -98%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner May 07 $51 +$81 +158%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner May 07 $93 +$55 +59%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 06 $192 −$189 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 06 $406 −$200 -49%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 06 $152 +$147 +97%
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports Worl May 06 $51 −$48 -96%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 06 $49 −$48 -98%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) May 06 $152 −$150 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 06 $41 +$62 +151%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 05 $136 −$133 -98%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 05 $101 +$38 +38%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifie May 04 $205 −$203 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner May 04 $202 −$200 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner May 03 $202 +$105 +52%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner May 03 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seas May 03 $296 −$222 -75%
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) May 03 $202 −$200 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) May 03 $181 −$178 -98%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 03 $225 −$210 -94%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 03 $204 +$522 +255%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner May 03 $240 −$235 -98%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner May 03 $102 +$172 +169%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,882
other 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $99 23m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 54¢ $51 24m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $149 25m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $80 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 29¢ $38 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 74¢ $7 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $59 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $55 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 14¢ $4 33d
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner SELL MVK Esports 2¢ $4 33d
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY MVK Esports 33¢ $75 33d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $47 33d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 20¢ $51 33d
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY MVK Esports 31¢ $102 33d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner BUY Nongshim Red Force 45¢ $102 33d
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 70¢ $176 34d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner BUY Gentle Mates 34¢ $102 34d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner SELL magic 85¢ $5 34d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner BUY magic 49¢ $51 34d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner SELL Heroic 100¢ $198 34d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner BUY magic 38¢ $51 34d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 2 Winner BUY Fisher College 14¢ $31 34d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner SELL Heroic 100¢ $172 34d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner BUY Heroic 35¢ $71 34d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner BUY Fisher College 13¢ $31 34d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner BUY Heroic 29¢ $51 34d
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Gr BUY FURIA Esports 67¢ $97 34d
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner BUY GIANTX 30¢ $148 34d
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner BUY GIANTX 34¢ $102 34d
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner BUY GIANTX 35¢ $16 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +87.6% +69.8% 100% 100% +69.8%
≤30d 1 +87.6% +69.8% 100% 100% +69.8%
≤90d 376 -10.7% -19.2% 40% 39% -19.6%
all 428 -2.8% -12.0% 45% 44% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 44% -14.0%
10% -20.5% 44% -22.2%
15% -28.1% 41% -29.8%
20% -35.2% 35% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $113.24 · official $127.77 · 869 history records