trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 100% | 29% | -2.4% |
| all | 20 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 90% | 25% | -17.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.1% | 25% | -17.2% |
| 10% | -16.9% | 15% | -25.1% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 10% | -32.4% |
| 20% | -32.3% | 0% | -39.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $77 | $77 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Les Wexner charged by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | Jun 02 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | Jun 02 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | May 25 | $172 | +$42 | +24% |
| LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $147 | +$25 | +17% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 23 | $147 | $0 | +0% |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Apr 09 | $147 | $0 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Jazz | Apr 01 | $147 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner | Feb 26 | $2,022 | −$1,875 | -93% |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | Feb 16 | $1,375 | +$647 | +47% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 14? | Feb 15 | $1,373 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage | Feb 02 | $978 | +$395 | +40% |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | Jan 25 | $115 | −$32 | -28% |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | Jan 25 | $190 | +$37 | +20% |
| Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1) | Jan 09 | $972 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | Jan 02 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $61 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $74 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $315 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $420 | +$1 | +0% |