Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T03:16:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
85 0x8544…32ea sports 5 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate20%1W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5,209per market
Trades / day32.9pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.0% -9.5% 20% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 5 -0.0% -9.5% 20% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 5 -0.0% -9.5% 20% 0% -9.5%
all 5 -0.0% -9.5% 20% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
15.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.01 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5,209
Trades / day32.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) Jun 29 $11,658 $0 -0%
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Jun 27 $4,397 $0 -0%
Spread: Egypt (-4.5) Jun 26 $5,047 $0 -0%
Spread: Sweden (-4.5) Jun 25 $2,741 $0 +0%
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5) Jun 24 $2,199 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 18h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 153 history records