Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x8559…b84b
crypto · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses6 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$1
other 10% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -7.4% -16.2% 60% 60% -15.1%
≤30d 10 -7.4% -16.2% 60% 60% -15.1%
≤90d 10 -7.4% -16.2% 60% 60% -15.1%
all 10 -7.4% -16.2% 60% 60% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 60% -15.1%
10% -24.2% 50% -23.3%
15% -31.5% 30% -30.7%
20% -38.2% 30% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records