trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 60% | 50% | -31.1% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 57% | 50% | -21.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 57% | 50% | -21.3% |
| all | 14 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 57% | 50% | -21.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.4% | 50% | -21.3% |
| 10% | -22.6% | 50% | -28.8% |
| 15% | -30.1% | 50% | -35.7% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 36% | -42.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $103 | +$97 | +93% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $61 | +$27 | +44% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $98 | +$9 | +9% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $55 | −$54 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $202 | +$118 | +58% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $273 | −$269 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $209 | −$208 | -99% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +41% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $102 | +$94 | +92% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 05 | $104 | −$101 | -98% |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? | May 27 | $512 | +$479 | +94% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $100 | +$93 | +93% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 21 | $508 | −$498 | -98% |