Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x856b…e7b1
crypto · 697 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$318 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$315 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$315
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses397 / 299
Open positions1
Markets (closed)696 / 697
History coverage7d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day429.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 696 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$315
14 days−$315
30 days−$315
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$318
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 696 -10.7% -19.2% 57% 37% -11.3%
≤30d 696 -10.7% -19.2% 57% 37% -11.3%
≤90d 696 -10.7% -19.2% 57% 37% -11.3%
all 696 -10.7% -19.2% 57% 37% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover429.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 37% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 25% -19.8%
15% -34.0% 18% -27.6%
20% -40.5% 12% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.03 (match) · 3500 history records