trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 50% | 50% | -15.9% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 53% | 47% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 54% | 36% | -13.6% |
| all | 28 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 54% | 36% | -13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 36% | -13.6% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 25% | -21.9% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 18% | -29.4% |
| 20% | -42.4% | 11% | -36.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | No | 35¢ | 3¢ | $35 | $3 | −$32 (-92%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $110 | −$108 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $188 | +$137 | +73% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $495 | +$105 | +21% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $409 | −$403 | -99% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $425 | −$20 | -5% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $256 | +$258 | +101% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $218 | −$213 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $309 | +$75 | +24% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $407 | +$93 | +23% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $274 | −$270 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $244 | +$101 | +42% |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10? | Jun 10 | $60 | −$11 | -18% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 10 | $127 | −$4 | -3% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 10 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Jun 02 | $420 | +$80 | +19% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $106 | +$94 | +89% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | May 24 | $121 | −$4 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 19 | $300 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 18 | $166 | +$34 | +20% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 11 | $69 | −$69 | -100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4? | May 04 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 03 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | May 03 | $294 | +$106 | +36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2? | May 02 | $328 | −$22 | -7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 01 | $295 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 26 | $180 | −$180 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Apr 15 | $420 | +$10 | +2% |