| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? |
Jun 23 |
$36 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? |
Jun 03 |
$4 |
$0 |
-4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Jun 03 |
$20 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
Jun 01 |
$36 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? |
Jun 01 |
$80 |
−$4 |
-5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
May 31 |
$84 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 31 |
$43 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? |
May 30 |
$43 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? |
May 29 |
$39 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
May 29 |
$44 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
May 29 |
$39 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? |
May 28 |
$15 |
+$1 |
+6% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab |
May 28 |
$43 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Dillon Danis win the match? |
Jun 24 |
$6 |
−$5 |
-89% |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30? |
May 31 |
$1 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? |
May 10 |
$6 |
−$6 |
-100% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? |
May 06 |
$7 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? |
May 06 |
$7 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win by 50 or more seats? |
May 06 |
$8 |
$0 |
+3% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? |
May 06 |
$2 |
−$2 |
-100% |
| Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runof |
Apr 23 |
$9 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? |
Apr 23 |
$8 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? |
Apr 19 |
$1 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April? |
Apr 15 |
$9 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? |
Apr 12 |
$9 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? |
Apr 10 |
$15 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award? |
Apr 01 |
$14 |
$0 |
+0% |
| 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April? |
Mar 29 |
$13 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? |
Mar 28 |
$2 |
−$1 |
-58% |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28? |
Mar 28 |
$16 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28? |
Mar 25 |
$15 |
+$1 |
+5% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? |
Mar 21 |
$7 |
+$1 |
+8% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? |
Mar 21 |
$8 |
$0 |
-0% |