Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:40:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
85 0x8592…d955 crypto 45 markets active 5d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (183 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$14 (+1%) realized +$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate58%26W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day183.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (183 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 47% -14.8%
≤30d 45 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 47% -14.8%
≤90d 45 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 47% -14.8%
all 45 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 47% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover183.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 47% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 33% -23.0%
15% -29.9% 27% -30.4%
20% -36.8% 13% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$12 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses26 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)45 / 45
History coverage1d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day183.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 45 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$40 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$8 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$16 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$12 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +71%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$47 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$10 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$22 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$18 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$10 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$28 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$26 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$15 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $38 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $40 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 203 history records