trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +38.2% | +25.1% | 57% | 57% | +6.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -3.2% | -12.5% | 40% | 40% | -0.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -3.2% | -12.5% | 40% | 40% | -0.7% |
| all | 23 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 43% | 39% | -29.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.5% | 39% | -29.1% |
| 10% | -28.1% | 39% | -35.9% |
| 15% | -35.1% | 35% | -42.0% |
| 20% | -41.4% | 35% | -47.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $87 | $86 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Germany | 46¢ | 46¢ | $67 | $68 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 21¢ | $35 | $62 | +$27 (+77%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $40 | $32 | −$8 (-21%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $30 | $20 | −$10 (-32%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 11¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-19%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 23¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 28 | $50 | +$107 | +215% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 27 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $61 | +$43 | +70% |
| Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $23 | +$59 | +250% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $107 | +$35 | +32% |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) | Feb 09 | $71 | +$77 | +108% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 25 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| Alcaraz vs. Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | Jan 25 | $26 | +$24 | +92% |
| Spread: Patriots (-4.5) | Jan 24 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Jan 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) | Jan 11 | $150 | +$137 | +91% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 10 | $183 | −$183 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Jan 05 | $146 | −$146 | -100% |
| Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1) | Jan 04 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Panthers vs. Buccaneers | Jan 04 | $86 | +$60 | +70% |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | Dec 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | Dec 22 | $98 | +$90 | +92% |
| Spread: Lions (-7.5) | Dec 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |