trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -42.5% | -48.0% | 38% | 12% | -31.6% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -26.6% | -33.6% | 50% | 30% | -26.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -26.6% | -33.6% | 50% | 30% | -26.4% |
| all | 20 | -26.6% | -33.6% | 50% | 30% | -26.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -33.6% | 30% | -26.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -39.9% | 20% | -33.5% |
| 15% | -45.7% | 5% | -39.9% |
| 20% | -51.1% | 5% | -45.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $3,651 | +$241 | +7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 24 | $3,060 | −$1,391 | -45% |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | Jun 20 | $340 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Jun 20 | $1,239 | −$348 | -28% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Jun 20 | $376 | +$96 | +26% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $128 | −$128 | -100% |
| Starmer out by October 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $570 | −$569 | -100% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $6,138 | +$319 | +5% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 16 | $1,706 | +$294 | +17% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 15 | $8,523 | +$2,927 | +34% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $313 | +$665 | +212% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 14 | $577 | −$577 | -100% |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? | Jun 11 | $252 | +$29 | +11% |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7? | Jun 09 | $1,355 | +$342 | +25% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 07 | $2,304 | −$2,304 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 07 | $3,353 | −$3,353 | -100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $1,351 | +$33 | +2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? | Jun 06 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 03 | $3,236 | −$3,236 | -100% |