Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:20:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85bb…9ada
sports · 5 markets active 3h ago
2.0score
+$56,098 +116%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32,068 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$32,068
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1,055
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage10d
Avg bet$9,697
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$166
7 days+$9,028
14 days+$32,068
30 days+$32,068
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 29¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+245%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 10¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 38¢ 0¢ $10,780 $0 −$10,780 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $13,658 −$166 -1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $9,159 +$19,973 +218%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10,965 −$10,780 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $4,739 +$8,355 +176%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $9,965 +$14,685 +147%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$32,068
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 10¢ $325 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 10¢ $514 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 87¢ $35,355 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 45¢ $1,118 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 19¢ $1,024 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 25¢ $1,636 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $1,164 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 25¢ $3,068 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $2,038 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $2,038 5h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 9¢ $719 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 15¢ $103 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 17¢ $102 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 24¢ $511 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 27¢ $511 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 27¢ $307 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 30¢ $204 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 33¢ $306 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 35¢ $408 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 36¢ $408 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 40¢ $407 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $407 3d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 37¢ $932 3d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 39¢ $1,058 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 42¢ $407 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 49¢ $305 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $4,054 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 6¢ $206 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 15¢ $79 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 28¢ $514 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+53.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +8.5% -1.9% 33% 33% +31.1%
≤30d 5 +69.8% +53.6% 60% 60% +73.8%
≤90d 5 +69.8% +53.6% 60% 60% +73.8%
all 5 +69.8% +53.6% 60% 60% +73.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +53.6% 60% +73.8%
10% ← realistic here +38.9% 60% +57.2%
15% +25.5% 60% +42.0%
20% +13.2% 60% +28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.44 · official $0.00 (match) · 47 history records