trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$38 | +1843% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 11? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 11? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$2 | +58% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju | Jun 12 | $3 | +$1 | +21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 10? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $3 | +$1 | +44% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11? | Jun 10 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 9? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 10? | Jun 09 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on June 6 | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on June 6? | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on June | Jun 05 | $10 | −$8 | -73% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6? | Jun 05 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +81.1% | +63.9% | 59% | 59% | +41.6% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +52.7% | +38.1% | 48% | 48% | +10.2% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +52.7% | +38.1% | 48% | 48% | +10.2% |
| all | 21 | +52.7% | +38.1% | 48% | 48% | +10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +38.1% | 48% | +10.2% |
| 10% | +24.9% | 24% | -0.3% |
| 15% | +12.8% | 14% | -10.0% |
| 20% | +1.8% | 10% | -18.8% |