Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85c3…700c
sports · 832 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,325 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$946 · open +$259
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,818
Realized+$946
Unrealized+$259
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses393 / 423
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Est. fees paid−$895
Open positions16
Markets (closed)816 / 832
History coverage12d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day79.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 16 History 816 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,542
7 days+$1,199
14 days+$946
30 days+$946
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 65¢ 100¢ $389 $600 +$211 (+54%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 61¢ 100¢ $259 $425 +$166 (+64%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 71¢ 87¢ $345 $422 +$78 (+23%)
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald Mackenzie McDonald 38¢ 100¢ $118 $311 +$193 (+163%)
Mattia Bellucci vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 52¢ 100¢ $125 $240 +$115 (+92%)
Set 1 Winner: Sakamoto vs Wu Wu 49¢ 62¢ $121 $152 +$31 (+26%)
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs G-Time (BO3) - European Pro League Group A VP.Prodigy 61¢ 52¢ $172 $145 −$27 (-16%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 Under 48¢ 44¢ $108 $100 −$7 (-7%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Over 47¢ 48¢ $97 $98 +$2 (+2%)
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Michael Zheng 45¢ 30¢ $130 $88 −$42 (-32%)
O/U 1.5 Rounds Under 48¢ 50¢ $85 $88 +$4 (+4%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 50¢ 48¢ $54 $53 −$1 (-2%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 47¢ 50¢ $40 $43 +$3 (+7%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Lulu Sun 39¢ 12¢ $58 $18 −$40 (-69%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 32¢ 8¢ $57 $13 −$44 (-77%)
O/U 1.5 Rounds Under 40¢ 40¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-5%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 41¢ 0¢ $101 $1 −$100 (-99%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Darwin Blanch 41¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Mattia Bellucci vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 46¢ 0¢ $161 $0 −$161 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 14 $70 −$138 -196%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $67 −$67 -100%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $64 +$160 +250%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 14 $115 +$131 +114%
Rinky Hijikata vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $390 −$390 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp Jun 14 $224 +$151 +67%
Kovacevic vs. Perricard: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 14 $203 −$203 -100%
Mattia Bellucci vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $291 −$161 -56%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $74 +$92 +124%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Jun 14 $74 +$113 +152%
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 14 $103 −$3 -3%
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 14 $103 −$3 -3%
Polina Kudermetova vs. Sinja Kraus: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $336 −$10 -3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $66 +$97 +146%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $261 +$109 +42%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $223 +$244 +109%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $262 +$166 +63%
Bartunkova vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $615 −$21 -3%
Paul vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 14 $212 −$7 -3%
Set 1 Winner: Blinkova vs Bondar Jun 14 $91 −$91 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $132 −$132 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $914 −$349 -38%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $73 −$73 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 Jun 14 $82 +$98 +119%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $119 +$132 +111%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $166 +$182 +109%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Jun 14 $88 +$100 +114%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Jun 14 $121 +$123 +102%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 14 $121 −$121 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Jun 14 $132 +$139 +105%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 14 $160 −$160 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $350 −$350 -100%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $804 +$345 +43%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $30 +$52 +176%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $107 +$18 +17%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Jun 14 $82 +$90 +109%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 Jun 14 $236 −$40 -17%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $222 +$243 +109%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,269
other 0% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 47¢ $98 2m
Set 1 Winner: Sakamoto vs Wu BUY Wu 49¢ $123 6m
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 45¢ $132 16m
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs G-Time (BO3) - European Pro League Group A BUY VP.Prodigy 61¢ $174 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 41¢ $103 1h
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald BUY Mackenzie McDonald 38¢ $120 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $393 1h
Mattia Bellucci vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 46¢ $164 1h
Mattia Bellucci vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 52¢ $127 1h
Rinky Hijikata vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 53¢ $390 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 28¢ $64 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 31¢ $53 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney BUY Himeno Sakatsume 46¢ $115 2h
Kovacevic vs. Perricard: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 33¢ $203 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 31¢ $67 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 59¢ $224 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 61¢ $262 3h
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 51¢ $103 4h
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 51¢ $103 4h
Polina Kudermetova vs. Sinja Kraus: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 51¢ $336 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 47¢ $223 4h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Harry Wendelken 39¢ $74 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Martin Damm 40¢ $66 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Lulu Sun 39¢ $59 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Ella Seidel 32¢ $58 5h
Set 1 Winner: Blinkova vs Bondar BUY Blinkova 42¢ $91 5h
Paul vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 51¢ $212 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 44¢ $74 6h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 36¢ $59 6h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 70¢ $261 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 649 +1.8% -7.9% 49% 48% -7.2%
≤30d 816 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 47% -8.1%
≤90d 816 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 47% -8.1%
all 816 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 47% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 47% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 45% -16.9%
15% -25.6% 41% -24.9%
20% -32.9% 35% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,817.72 · official $2,877.41 · 3500 history records