Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:03:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85d8…e16b
crypto · 410 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$189 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$197 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$87
Realized−$197
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses309 / 89
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions12
Markets (closed)398 / 410
History coverage18d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day35.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 12 History 398 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$82
7 days−$296
14 days−$191
30 days−$197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 85¢ 93¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+10%)
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Gimnasia 72¢ 71¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Aguada Santeros vs. Mets de Guaynabo Mets de Guaynabo 63¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+58%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Minnesota Lynx 16¢ 23¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+44%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Marsborne 77¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+29%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners Under 66¢ 84¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 86¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5 Over 91¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Knicks 49¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: Both Teams to Score Yes 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 42¢ 41¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 80¢ 64¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-19%)
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Quimsa 60¢ 29¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Veronika Erjavec 28¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner aimclub 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 70¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Adam Walton 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Ignite 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$3 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$20 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$20 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$23 +37%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$50 +409%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $18 +$9 +49%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $6 +$5 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$19 +96%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $12 +$2 +20%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$77 +96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $6 +$29 +474%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 13 $6 +$9 +146%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas: O/U 163.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$19 +93%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$7 +60%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$80 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$4 +65%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 +$2 +27%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$4 +65%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $6 +$15 +250%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$11 +90%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$13 +216%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$5 +129%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$8 +134%
Map Handicap: RUST (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 13 $6 +$2 +39%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $16 +$3 +18%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$476
sports 12% +$300
other 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 42¢ $5 9m
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Quimsa 60¢ $4 12m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 71¢ $5 40m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 94¢ $5 41m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 94¢ $5 41m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 80¢ $5 42m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 66¢ $5 43m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 86¢ $5 52m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 16¢ $5 1h
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 49¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 BUY Under 60¢ $5 1h
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Gimnasia 76¢ $5 1h
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Gimnasia 68¢ $5 1h
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 97¢ $5 1h
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 91¢ $5 1h
Aguada Santeros vs. Mets de Guaynabo BUY Mets de Guaynabo 63¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Marsborne 77¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $18 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 203 +1.3% -8.3% 69% 60% -22.2%
≤30d 398 +3.8% -6.1% 78% 66% -13.1%
≤90d 398 +3.8% -6.1% 78% 66% -13.1%
all 398 +3.8% -6.1% 78% 66% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 66% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 31% -21.4%
15% -23.3% 11% -29.0%
20% -30.8% 7% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $86.76 · official $86.76 (match) · 960 history records