Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:46:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85eb…92a6
crypto · 305 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$298 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$304 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$304
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses175 / 129
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)304 / 305
History coverage26d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$207
7 days−$137
14 days+$112
30 days+$304
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 31¢ 12¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$26 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$20 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$52 +488%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$28 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$21 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$33 +311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$22 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$22 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$375
sports 1% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 +1.7% -8.0% 44% 44% -14.4%
≤30d 304 +5.5% -4.5% 58% 57% -5.2%
≤90d 304 +5.5% -4.5% 58% 57% -5.2%
all 304 +5.5% -4.5% 58% 57% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.5% 57% -5.2%
10% -13.7% 52% -14.2%
15% -22.0% 47% -22.5%
20% -29.7% 38% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.03 · official $5.97 · 494 history records