trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 20% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $107 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $215 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 05 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 01 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | May 15 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | May 14 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | May 06 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 13 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 06 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 20 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 18 | $109 | $0 | -0% |