Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:34:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
85 0x85fa…673f crypto 185 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$8 (-1%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate87%161W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day21.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$26
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -0.1% -9.6% 87% 13% -13.7%
≤30d 185 -1.1% -10.5% 87% 16% -12.5%
≤90d 185 -1.1% -10.5% 87% 16% -12.5%
all 185 -1.1% -10.5% 87% 16% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 16% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 1% -20.9%
15% -26.9% 1% -28.6%
20% -34.0% 1% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses161 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)185 / 185
History coverage10d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 185 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $51 −$24 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $14 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$1 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$4 -34%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$4 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$5 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 38h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 376 history records