trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 0% | 0% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +16.1% | +5.1% | 50% | 25% | -14.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +8.1% | -2.2% | 56% | 25% | -15.1% |
| all | 17 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 53% | 24% | -15.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.0% | 24% | -15.8% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 24% | -23.9% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 18% | -31.2% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 6% | -38.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $106 | $106 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $33 | $33 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 28 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Jun 28 | $107 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $67 | −$24 | -36% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 20 | $50 | −$5 | -10% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $70 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $19 | +$8 | +40% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Sta | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? | May 12 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Feb 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |