Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8608…f0f5
crypto · 1276 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$544 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$200 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1161 / 115
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1276 / 1276
History coverage52d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day30.8
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 0 History 1276 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$232
7 days−$232
14 days−$232
30 days−$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$40 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$23 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$11 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$19 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$16 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$29 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$6 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$16 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$15 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$107
other 9% +$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -20.9% -28.4% 43% 35% -28.9%
≤30d 60 -20.9% -28.4% 43% 35% -28.9%
≤90d 1276 +0.0% -9.5% 91% 3% -9.3%
all 1276 +0.0% -9.5% 91% 3% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 3% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 2% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 1% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2909 history records