Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T13:43:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
86 0x8611…d340 crypto 337 markets active 2h ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d only
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,399 (+0%) realized +$2,392 · open +$7
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%331W / 1L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown1%max
Avg bet$2,569per market
Trades / day91.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$22,462now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days+$288
14 days+$469
30 days+$968
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$1,113
weather 3% +$201
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)+12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +55.7% +40.9% 97% 3% -9.3%
≤30d 287 +21.1% +9.5% 100% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 332 +24.2% +12.4% 100% 1% -9.4%
all 332 +24.2% +12.4% 100% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.4% 1% -9.4%
10% +1.7% 1% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -8.2% 1% -26.0%
20% -17.2% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +24% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$2,994) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +12% → late +36% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$10 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×131.97 per $1 lost it wins $131.97
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$22,462
Realized+$2,392
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses331 / 1
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions5
Markets (closed)332 / 337
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$2,569
Trades / day91.4
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 332 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $9,977 $9,985 +$8 (+0%)
Will Solana dip to $50 June 22-28? No 100¢ 100¢ $6,986 $6,982 −$4 (-0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 22-28? No 100¢ 100¢ $2,794 $2,796 +$1 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28? No 100¢ 100¢ $2,642 $2,643 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 29? No 100¢ 99¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 28? Jun 28 $599 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 28? Jun 28 $6,985 +$8 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28? Jun 28 $5,697 +$7 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 27? Jun 27 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? Jun 27 $1,974 +$22 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 27? Jun 27 $9,981 +$9 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 26? Jun 27 $608 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 26? Jun 26 $13,473 +$14 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 26? Jun 26 $270 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 26? Jun 26 $998 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 26? Jun 25 $998 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 25? Jun 25 $14 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 25? Jun 25 $68 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 25? Jun 25 $149 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 25? Jun 25 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 25? Jun 25 $253 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25? Jun 25 $6,116 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25? Jun 25 $4,990 −$10 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 25? Jun 25 $2,994 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 24? Jun 25 $100 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 24? Jun 25 $105 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 24? Jun 25 $9,456 +$44 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 24? Jun 24 $2,994 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 25? Jun 24 $3,384 +$4 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $18,876 +$105 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 23? Jun 23 $2,678 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $12,974 +$13 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $798 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $5,368 +$26 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 23? Jun 22 $5,988 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 23? Jun 22 $2,609 +$2 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 15-21? Jun 22 $100 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? Jun 22 $2,712 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 15-21? Jun 21 $4,991 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22? Jun 21 $10,979 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $81 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $479 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $9,980 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 20? Jun 20 $37 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $1,996 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 20? Jun 20 $361 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 20? Jun 20 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $207 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $227 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $212 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 19? Jun 20 $105 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 19? Jun 20 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 19? Jun 20 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 20? Jun 20 $811 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 20? Jun 19 $4,990 +$5 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 29? BUY No 100¢ $55 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,923 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $7 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,996 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $18 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $6,009 5h
Will Solana dip to $50 June 22-28? BUY No 100¢ $1,594 5h
Will Solana dip to $50 June 22-28? BUY No 100¢ $5,393 5h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 22-28? BUY No 100¢ $1,996 5h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 22-28? BUY No 100¢ $799 5h
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28? BUY No 100¢ $607 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 28? SELL No 100¢ $599 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 28? SELL No 100¢ $6,993 6h
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28? SELL No 100¢ $11 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28? SELL No 100¢ $2 8h
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28? SELL No 100¢ $4,419 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28? SELL No 100¢ $594 13h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28? SELL No 100¢ $1,985 20h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $38 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $136 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $119 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $124 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $114 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $177 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $123 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $116 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $114 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $188 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? SELL Yes 100¢ $128 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,461.53 · official $22,461.08 (match) · 3500 history records