Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8613…0eef
crypto · 1705 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$119 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$115 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$115
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1215 / 486
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1701 / 1705
History coverage66d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 4 History 1701 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$41
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 80¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 73¢ 68¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 70¢ 66¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$74
other 23% −$44
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 319 -3.4% -12.6% 66% 62% -12.6%
≤30d 319 -3.4% -12.6% 66% 62% -12.6%
≤90d 1701 -2.7% -12.0% 71% 65% -11.7%
all 1701 -2.7% -12.0% 71% 65% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 65% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 50% -20.2%
15% -28.1% 29% -27.9%
20% -35.2% 10% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.30 · official $9.35 (match) · 3500 history records