trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 23% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -9.1% | -17.8% | 21% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 29 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 48% | 7% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 7% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -22.2% | 3% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 3% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 3% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 24 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 24 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 15 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $42 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $67 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $9 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June? | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 01 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days? | Apr 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 03 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| 10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April? | Mar 29 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 57°F or higher on March 27? | Mar 29 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 27 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 21 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days? | Mar 19 | $18 | $0 | +2% |
| LSU vs. Kentucky | Mar 06 | $16 | +$2 | +15% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 27-28°F on February 20? | Mar 04 | $10 | +$6 | +61% |