trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -55.0% | -59.3% | 0% | 0% | -61.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -55.0% | -59.3% | 0% | 0% | -61.1% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -37.6% | -43.5% | 35% | 32% | -39.7% |
| all | 31 | -37.6% | -43.5% | 35% | 32% | -39.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.5% | 32% | -39.7% |
| 10% | -48.9% | 29% | -45.4% |
| 15% | -53.9% | 26% | -50.7% |
| 20% | -58.4% | 23% | -55.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 21¢ | $111 | $131 | +$19 (+17%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $200 | $105 | −$95 (-48%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 11¢ | $150 | $96 | −$54 (-36%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $120 | $81 | −$39 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $112 | −$46 | -41% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $149 | −$103 | -69% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 26 | $160 | +$99 | +62% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | May 20 | $122 | −$120 | -99% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | May 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 07 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 07 | $71 | −$70 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5 | Apr 21 | $24 | −$24 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 21 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5 | Apr 21 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $100 | +$29 | +29% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 20 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 | Apr 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | Apr 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5 | Apr 20 | $78 | −$78 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $50 | +$5 | +11% |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | Apr 20 | $100 | +$77 | +77% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 20 | $64 | +$6 | +10% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 20 | $100 | +$90 | +90% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5 | Apr 20 | $100 | +$91 | +91% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $71 | +$91 | +129% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 19 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5 | Apr 19 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5 | Apr 19 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 19 | $49 | +$20 | +42% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 19 | $50 | +$28 | +57% |
| Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 | Apr 18 | $48 | +$25 | +52% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 17 | $50 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16? | Apr 17 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |