trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +72.6% | +56.2% | 36% | 36% | +7.1% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 20% | 20% | -15.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 20% | 20% | -15.4% |
| all | 20 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 20% | 20% | -15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.4% | 20% | -15.4% |
| 10% | -14.4% | 20% | -23.5% |
| 15% | -22.7% | 20% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -30.3% | 20% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $100 | $81 | −$19 (-19%) |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 8¢ | $40 | $56 | +$16 (+41%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 4¢ | $26 | $14 | −$11 (-44%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31? | Jun 17 | $30 | −$11 | -37% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$14 | -68% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 16 | $298 | −$85 | -28% |
| Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $18 | +$100 | +543% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $20 | +$74 | +360% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$2 | -9% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai | Jun 14 | $20 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$9 | -63% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$5 | -23% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $69 | +$48 | +69% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by J | Jun 14 | $7 | +$5 | +65% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$5 | -52% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$3 | -26% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$10 | -49% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 14 | $48 | −$38 | -80% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Jun 12 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |