Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:01:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8656…68c0
crypto · 628 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$985 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$985 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$985
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses79 / 549
Open positions0
Markets (closed)628 / 628
History coverage70d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day40.1
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 628 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$328
7 days+$420
14 days+$420
30 days+$636
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $83 −$62 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$280 +1014%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$96 +2356%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$95 +1333%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $74 +$26 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$38 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$94 +1567%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$11 +183%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$985
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 +8.7% -1.6% 13% 12% +27.7%
≤30d 319 +3.7% -6.2% 15% 14% +14.2%
≤90d 628 +5.4% -4.7% 13% 11% +15.4%
all 628 +5.4% -4.7% 13% 11% +15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 11% +15.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 11% +4.4%
15% -22.1% 11% -5.7%
20% -29.7% 10% -15.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records