Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x865b…6958
crypto · 240 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$30 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses202 / 37
Open positions1
Markets (closed)239 / 240
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day183.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$65
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 87¢ 88¢ $12 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$8 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$9 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $19 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $17 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $17 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $15 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $17 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $15 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $13 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $14 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 239 -1.0% -10.4% 85% 69% -8.6%
≤30d 239 -1.0% -10.4% 85% 69% -8.6%
≤90d 239 -1.0% -10.4% 85% 69% -8.6%
all 239 -1.0% -10.4% 85% 69% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover183.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 69% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 13% -17.3%
15% -26.8% 2% -25.3%
20% -34.0% 2% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.50 · official $12.36 (match) · 513 history records