trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -37.9% | -43.8% | 50% | 25% | -43.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 67% | 44% | +18.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 75% | 62% | +26.0% |
| all | 16 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 75% | 62% | +26.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.4% | 62% | +26.0% |
| 10% | -9.2% | 56% | +14.0% |
| 15% | -18.0% | 50% | +3.0% |
| 20% | -26.0% | 25% | -7.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 81¢ | $14 | $16 | +$2 (+12%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 82¢ | 82¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 90¢ | 88¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Spain | 54¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-55%) |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Yes | 75¢ | 30¢ | $10 | $4 | −$6 (-59%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+18%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-11%) |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Spain | 35¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-70%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-26%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Over | 56¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-92%) |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Spain | 22¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-82%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Jun 06 | $3 | +$2 | +75% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Jun 06 | $16 | +$4 | +28% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | May 31 | $26 | +$24 | +90% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | May 23 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | May 10 | $5 | +$1 | +19% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | Apr 28 | $10 | +$12 | +117% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Apr 27 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | Apr 27 | $10 | +$4 | +37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Apr 25 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Apr 25 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |