trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +10.5% | -0.0% | 38% | 12% | -5.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +10.5% | -0.0% | 38% | 12% | -5.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +10.5% | -0.0% | 38% | 12% | -5.7% |
| all | 24 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 46% | 12% | -7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.8% | 12% | -7.2% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 8% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -23.1% | 4% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 4% | -31.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $51 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$12 | +93% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $44 | −$5 | -11% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | −$1 | -25% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 04 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 27 | $24 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Jun 12 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 12 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Starmer out before July? | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | Jun 10 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 08 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 07 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 07 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 06 | $25 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | May 18 | $25 | $0 | -0% |