Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8697…5e10
crypto · 376 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses345 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)376 / 376
History coverage61d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day14.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 376 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days−$25
14 days−$22
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 +3.4% -6.4% 88% 25% -10.7%
≤30d 350 +2.4% -7.4% 91% 19% -9.8%
≤90d 376 +2.3% -7.4% 92% 18% -9.8%
all 376 +2.3% -7.4% 92% 18% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 18% -9.8%
10% -16.3% 6% -18.4%
15% -24.4% 3% -26.3%
20% -31.8% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1334 history records