Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x86c4…76a0
crypto · 6 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$5 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% +$1
other 20% $0
tech 17% +$2
finance 12% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 98¢ $17 18h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY Yes 88¢ $15 26h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 99¢ $11 26h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 87¢ $10 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +5.8% -4.2% 100% 33% -4.7%
≤30d 6 +5.8% -4.2% 100% 33% -4.7%
≤90d 6 +5.8% -4.2% 100% 33% -4.7%
all 6 +5.8% -4.2% 100% 33% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.2% 33% -4.7%
10% -13.4% 0% -13.8%
15% -21.8% 0% -22.2%
20% -29.4% 0% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 12 history records