trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | Down | 5¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Down | 20¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 59¢ | 0¢ | $13 | $0 | −$13 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 13 | $24 | +$10 | +41% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants | Jun 13 | $17 | +$6 | +35% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $25 | +$27 | +106% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | May 27 | $4 | −$3 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | May 25 | $12 | +$13 | +114% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | May 25 | $13 | −$13 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | May 24 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | May 24 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | May 24 | $11 | +$1 | +10% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +60.9% | +45.6% | 100% | 100% | +48.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +3.7% | -6.2% | 70% | 50% | +20.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +3.7% | -6.2% | 70% | 50% | +20.6% |
| all | 10 | +3.7% | -6.2% | 70% | 50% | +20.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.2% | 50% | +20.6% |
| 10% | -15.2% | 50% | +9.1% |
| 15% | -23.4% | 40% | -1.4% |
| 20% | -30.9% | 20% | -11.1% |