Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8708…3b77
crypto · 208 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$305 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$304 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$9
Realized−$304
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses151 / 56
Open positions1
Markets (closed)207 / 208
Avg bet$16
Trades / day221.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 207 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$288
7 days−$304
14 days−$304
30 days−$304
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 83¢ 68¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$44 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$24 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $62 −$12 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $85 −$31 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $72 +$19 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$8 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$10 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $63 +$25 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $67 +$32 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$305
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 207 +27.1% +15.0% 73% 62% -17.1%
≤30d 207 +27.1% +15.0% 73% 62% -17.1%
≤90d 207 +27.1% +15.0% 73% 62% -17.1%
all 207 +27.1% +15.0% 73% 62% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover221.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.0% 62% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here +4.0% 38% -25.0%
15% -6.0% 15% -32.2%
20% -15.2% 4% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.04 · official $8.08 (match) · 659 history records